FOMC August 2010 MinutesHome affordability took a slight hit this week after the Federal Reserve’s release of its August 10 meeting minutes.

The “Fed Minutes” is a lengthy, detailed recap of a Federal Open Market Committee meeting, not unlike the minutes published after a corporate conference, or condo association gathering. The Federal Reserve publishes its meeting minutes 3 weeks after a FOMC get-together.

The minutes are lengthy, too.

At 6,181 words, August’s Fed Minutes is thick with data about the economy, its current threats, and its deeper strengths. The minutes also recount the conversations that, ultimately, shape our nation’s monetary policy.

It’s for this reason that mortgage rates are rising. Wall Street didn’t see much from the Fed that warranted otherwise.

Among the Fed’s observations from its minutes:

  • On the economy : The recession was deeper than previously believed
  • On jobs : Private employment is expanding slowly
  • On housing : The market was “quite soft” in June

Now, none of this was considered “news”, per se. If anything, investors were expecting for harsher words from the Fed; a bleaker outlook for the economy. And, because they didn’t get it, monies moved to stocks and mortgage bonds lost.

That caused mortgage rates to rise.

The Fed meets 8 times annually. Its next meeting is scheduled for September 21, 2010.  Until then, mortgage rates should remain low and home affordability should remain high. There will be ups-and-downs from day-to-day, but overall, the market is favorable.

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David Lukas is an active loan officer and can be reached at David@DavidLukas.com or by calling 501-952-3090. Also be sure to visit www.DavidLukas.com

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Case-Shiller Change In Home Values May-June 2010

According to the Standard & Poors Case-Shiller Index, home values rose 5 percent in June versus the month prior, and 4 percent from a year earlier.  It’s the 16th consecutive month in which Case-Shiller reported an increase in home values and the third straight month of outstanding results.

That said, homeowners and home buyers in North Little Rock would do well to temper Case-Shiller enthusiasm. The June figures are issued on 60-day delay and, over the last 60 days, housing data has been lackluster at best.

Stories like these highlight a key weakness of the Case-Shiller Index — it’s out of date as soon as it’s published. Because of this, the Case-Shiller Index relevance to everyday Americans is muted. People don’t buy homes in the “60 days ago” real estate market, after all.

June is ancient real estate history to buyers and sellers in Hill Crest.

However, the Case-Shiller Index does have its place. As the most widely-followed, private-sector housing tracker, the index is used to help make policy decisions and to shape Wall Street’s expectations of the economy. This means that a strong Case-Shiller reading can cause mortgage rates to rise, and a weak Case-Shiller reading can cause rates to fall.

Tuesday, mortgage rates fell.

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David Lukas is an active loan officer and can be reached at David@DavidLukas.com or by calling 501-952-3090. Also be sure to visit www.DavidLukas.com

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Mortgage Rates May Be Low, But They’re Tough To Pin Down — Especially This Week

by David Lukas August 31, 2010

Mortgage rates would have been volatile this week. The presence of Labor Day just piles on. If you have a chance to lock something favorable and within your budget, consider doing it.

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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : August 30, 2010

by David Lukas August 30, 2010

When Chairman Bernanke talks, markets listen. His comments about the U.S. economy helped fuel a late-Friday surge in mortgage rates last week.

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Home Affordability Rankings For 225 Metropolitan Statistical Areas

by David Lukas August 27, 2010

With home prices holding firm and mortgage rates still dropping, home affordability is reaching new heights.

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New Home Sales Drop In July — Just Like Existing Home Sales

by David Lukas August 26, 2010

Although new home inventory actually dropped 2,000 units in July, the slowing sales pace still managed to push the national supply higher by 1.1 months. At July’s rate of sales, the nation’s new home inventory would be exhausted in just about 9 months.

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Existing Home Sales Plummet In July; Home Buyers Gain Leverage

by David Lukas August 25, 2010

The number of home resales plunged by 1.4 million units in July. Home buyers may uncover opportunities for a deal.

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Bank Mortgage Lending Policies Appear To be Easing

by David Lukas August 24, 2010

According to the Federal Reserve’s quarterly survey of senior bank loan officers, roughly 1 in 10 lenders added mortgage qualification hurdles between April and June. It’s a huge departure from just 2 years ago when the mortgage industry was facing its first wave of challenges.

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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : August 23, 2010

by David Lukas August 23, 2010

This week, it’s unlikely that the Refi Boom will meet its end, but that doesn’t mean you should wait for rates to fall further. Mortgage rates tend to change quickly and without notice, and should rates rise, you may find that you’ve missed the market bottom.

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Mortgage Rates Make New Lows For The 9th Week In A Row

by David Lukas August 20, 2010

Mortgage rates are (again) at their lowest levels in history.

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